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On Digital Media 96: 2010 Predictions

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In this episode, John Federico (twitter: @gadgetboy), Craig Calder (twitter: @ccalder), Chia-Lin Simmons (twitter: @zeropts) and Steve Hatch (twitter:@shatch) make their predictions for 2010.

John’s Predictions

  1. Google will give Apple the most competition of any other company in mobile
  2. Apple will begin to take web services seriously, embrace “content in the cloud”
  3. Early adopters will burn out on social media
  4. eBook readers will become mainstream, $9.99 will remain the standard price point. Big publishers scream in agony. Magazine publishers need it to survive.
  5. Facebook’s privacy settings will spur lawsuits
  6. Live and real-time will be commonplace among early adopters

Steve’s Predictions:

  1. SEO is Dead! Long-live real-time search
  2. The fax machine will see a resurgence via twitter
  3. iPhone and Android adoption will start driving down data plan costs to make mobile data almost free
  4. Apple’s Tablet will be a no-show or way too expensive to be relevant
  5. Microsoft will finally lose ubiquity with IE due to the EU settlement and the push of Firefox, Chrome and other Webkit browsers (Safari)
  6. Location based apps will be standard for all devices (mobile and otherwise)
  7. No one in the ODM Crew will buy a Blueray player or disc EVER!
  8. By Q4 2010 30% of all TV sold will be Internet capable
  9. Cloud computing … was the hype in 2009, but will be a standard for all tech companies including Apple
  10. Facebook will hit 500M users by the end of the year

Craig’ s Predictions:

  1. Hyper local will be old news
  2. You’ll have no Mac tablet and like it
  3. Tiger Woods will keep sponsorship with EA Sports Gaming
  4. Bing will leave Yahoo in the dust and easily take over 2nd place in search
  5. The Bing iphone app will be huge

Chia-Lin’s predictions:

  1. Android will be 15% of the smartphone market in US market by end of 2010, Android market place will be extensive
  2. Lala will be Apple’s cloud/web service for media distribution, starting to minimize their download model
  3. The eReader market will heat up by Q4 , 2010. The Kindle will hit critical mass for Q4 holiday season, and go for a sale price of $100
  4. The magazine “hulu” by the consortium of magazine providers will build momentum by Q3 in terms of partnerships, but not launch until 20115.
  5. Chia-Lin will have the Starwars sleeping bag from ThinkGeek that was featured in Gizmodo (sleeping in guts is the way to keep warm on a frozen planet after all…). Will never be able to get a mini-donut maker since she is devoting 2010 to taking a pilates classes and getting in shape…
  6. Chia-Lin may end up with a iphone…tech gods willing…(or else, she will have to go with the Droid by mid next year)

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